Bendel Insurance 39%Draw 11%Barau FC 50%Expected goals 1.17 – 1.41
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · Lost ✗
8/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarau FC to win ✗50% · fair 2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Bendel Insurance v Barau FC in the NPFL, played at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium. In the table, Bendel Insurance are 7th, upper half, on 53 points after 37 matches; Barau FC are 8th (upper half) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bendel Insurance, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Abia Warriors, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Barau FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sporting Lagos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Barau FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Bendel Insurance.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bendel Insurance 1.2 xG, Barau FC 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bendel Insurance 39%, draw 11%, Barau FC 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bendel Insurance 1–1 Barau FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bendel Insurance39%fair 2.56
Draw11%fair 9.09
Barau FC50%fair 2.00
2.58Expected goals
1.17Bendel Insurance xG
1.41Barau FC xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Bendel Insurance 1.2 – 1.4 Barau FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barau FC to win✗
50%
2.00
–
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Barau FC (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Bendel Insurance +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Barau FC to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barau FC / FT Barau FC✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Bendel Insurance – last 6
LWLWLW
27 Sep
@ Abia Warriors
0–3
L
23 Sep
vs Ikorodu City
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Ranchers Bees
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Kun Khalifat FC
4–2
W
6 Sep
@ Nasarawa United
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Warri Wolves
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barau FC – last 6
DWDWDW
26 Sep
@ Sporting Lagos
1–1
D
23 Sep
vs Abia Warriors
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ikorodu City
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Ranchers Bees
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Kun Khalifat FC
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Nasarawa United
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bendel Insurance and Barau FC.
What is the prediction for Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance.
Who will win Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
On our numbers Bendel Insurance have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Barau FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
Our predicted score is Bendel Insurance 1–1 Barau FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC?
Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC (NPFL) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Samuel Ogbemudia Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Lagos1