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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertad Asuncion v Club Sp. San Lorenzo: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion 68%Draw 22%Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10% Expected goals 1.83 – 0.57
68%
Betarazi pick

Libertad Asuncion to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Libertad Asuncion welcome Club Sp. San Lorenzo to Estadio Tigo La Huerta for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Monday 24 August (22:30 WAT). In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tacuary, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Libertad Asuncion, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 5–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. The last 2 head-to-heads: Libertad Asuncion 2 wins, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 6.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.8 xG, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 68%, draw 22%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Libertad Asuncion to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertad Asuncion68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Club Sp. San Lorenzo10%fair 9.59 · @7.50
2.40Expected goals
1.83Libertad Asuncion xG
0.57Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.8 – 0.6 Club Sp. San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓68%1.481.36
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓90%1.121.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.00
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapLibertad Asuncion -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultLibertad Asuncion ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.57–

Recent results

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

DWWLWW
20 Aug@ Tacuary0–0D
16 Aug@ Sportivo Luqueno2–1W
10 Augvs Sportivo Trinidense2–1W
2 Aug@ Club Guarani1–2L
30 Julvs Deportivo Recoleta4–1W
26 Jul@ Olimpia1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Club Sp. San Lorenzo – last 6

LDLLLD
16 Aug@ Cerro Porteno0–1L
12 Aug@ 29 de Setiembre1–1D
9 Augvs Sportivo Luqueno0–2L
3 Aug@ Sportivo Trinidense0–3L
30 Julvs Club Guarani0–1L
25 Jul@ Deportivo Recoleta1–1D
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Libertad Asuncion v Club Sp. San Lorenzo5–0
3 Mar 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo v Libertad Asuncion0–7
Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Club Sp. San Lorenzo 10%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Club Sp. San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo?

Libertad Asuncion vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.