Torino 60%Draw 24%Monza 16%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.65
84%
Betarazi pick
Torino or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorino to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceTorino or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.90
Torino vs Monza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: Torino v Monza in the Coppa Italia, played at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Current form
Torino, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sassuolo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Monza, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Udinese, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torino 1.6 xG, Monza 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torino 60%, draw 24%, Monza 16%.
Lower-risk option: Torino or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Torino to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Torino or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torino 1–0 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torino60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Monza16%fair 6.42 · @4.40
2.23Expected goals
1.58Torino xG
0.65Monza xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Torino 1.6 – 0.7 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torino to win✗
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Torino or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Draw no bet
Torino (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Monza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Torino to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torino / FT Torino✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.90
–
Recent results
Torino – last 6
LLWDWL
29 Aug
@ Sassuolo
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs AC Milan
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Avellino
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Burnley
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
LLWDLW
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Galatasaray
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Monza.
Our pick is Torino or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Torino vs Monza?
On our numbers Torino have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monza 16%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Monza?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Torino 1–0 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Monza?
Torino vs Monza (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Parma0
Cremonese2