Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cremonese to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultParma to win ✗42% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.68
Parma vs Cremonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parma welcome Cremonese to Stadio Ennio Tardini for a Coppa Italia fixture on Tuesday 1 September (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Parma, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Juventus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cremonese, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Modena, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.2 xG, Cremonese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 42%, draw 23%, Cremonese 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cremonese to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Cremonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma42%fair 2.37 · @2.14
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Cremonese35%fair 2.86 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.17Parma xG
1.03Cremonese xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Parma 1.2 – 1.0 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✗
42%
2.37
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Parma (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Cremonese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Parma to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.68
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LLWLDD
29 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Catania
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Sampdoria
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 6
LLWDDW
28 Aug
vs Modena
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Cittadella
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Giana Erminio
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Cremonese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Parma vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Parma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cremonese 35%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Cremonese?
Parma vs Cremonese (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Ennio Tardini
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