Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCagliari to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chanceCagliari or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Cagliari vs Hellas Verona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hellas Verona travel to face Cagliari on Thursday 3 September in the Coppa Italia, with Unipol Domus the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Cagliari, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Inter, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hellas Verona, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Padova, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 1.9 xG, Hellas Verona 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 62%, draw 24%, Hellas Verona 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cagliari or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Cagliari to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cagliari or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.40
Hellas Verona14%fair 6.96 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.91Cagliari xG
0.82Hellas Verona xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.9 – 0.8 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
62%
1.62
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Cagliari or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.90
Draw no bet
Cagliari (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.08
First team to score
Cagliari to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Cagliari ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Cagliari – last 6
LWWDDW
30 Aug
vs Inter
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Parma
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
DLDWWW
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Virtus Verona
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Cagliari or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hellas Verona 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Cagliari vs Hellas Verona (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Unipol Domus
Palermo5
Mantova2