Value bet: Palermo to win @ 1.66 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓66% · @1.66
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Palermo vs Mantova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mantova travel to face Palermo on Thursday 3 September in the Coppa Italia, with Stadio Renzo Barbera the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Palermo, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Arezzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mantova, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Empoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Palermo 2–1 Mantova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Palermo 1.8 xG, Mantova 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Palermo 66%, draw 22%, Mantova 11%.
Lower-risk option: Palermo or draw (89%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Palermo to win @1.66 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Palermo 1–0 Mantova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Palermo66%fair 1.51 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.85
Mantova11%fair 8.75 · @4.85
2.39Expected goals
1.79Palermo xG
0.60Mantova xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.8 – 0.6 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?
On our numbers Palermo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mantova 11%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Mantova?
Palermo vs Mantova (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Renzo Barbera
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