South Korea vs Uruguay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 28 September the Friendlies brings South Korea against Uruguay at Seoul World Cup Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
South Korea, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ecuador, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Uruguay, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Japan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours South Korea, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Uruguay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give South Korea 1.4 xG, Uruguay 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – South Korea 44%, draw 24%, Uruguay 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: South Korea 1–1 Uruguay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
South Korea44%fair 2.28 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Uruguay32%fair 3.13 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.37South Korea xG
1.13Uruguay xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: South Korea 1.4 – 1.1 Uruguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✗
44%
2.28
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
South Korea (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Uruguay +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
South Korea to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
South Korea – last 6
WLLWWW
24 Sep
vs Ecuador
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ South Africa
0–1
L
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
31 May
vs Trinidad and Tobago
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Uruguay – last 6
LLDDDD
24 Sep
@ Japan
1–3
L
27 Jun
vs Spain
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Cape Verde Islands
2–2
D
15 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Algeria
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ England
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Korea and Uruguay.
What is the prediction for South Korea vs Uruguay?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win South Korea vs Uruguay?
On our numbers South Korea have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Uruguay 32%.
How many goals will there be in South Korea vs Uruguay?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Uruguay?
Our predicted score is South Korea 1–1 Uruguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is South Korea vs Uruguay?
South Korea vs Uruguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Japan2
Venezuela1
Slovakia U191
Poland U192