Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.70
Japan vs Venezuela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Japan welcome Venezuela to Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima for a Friendlies fixture on Monday 28 September (11:25 WAT).
Current form
Japan, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Uruguay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Venezuela, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Iraq, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Japan 1.6 xG, Venezuela 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Japan 69%, draw 19%, Venezuela 13%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Japan to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Japan 1–0 Venezuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Japan69%fair 1.45 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @5.00
Venezuela13%fair 7.98 · @9.50
2.00Expected goals
1.57Japan xG
0.43Venezuela xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Japan 1.6 – 0.4 Venezuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan to win✓
69%
1.45
1.25
Double chance
Japan or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.60
Draw no bet
Japan (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Japan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Japan to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan / FT Japan✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.70
–
Recent results
Japan – last 6
WLDWDW
24 Sep
vs Uruguay
3–1
W
29 Jun
@ Brazil
1–2
L
26 Jun
vs Sweden
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Tunisia
4–0
W
14 Jun
@ Netherlands
2–2
D
31 May
vs Iceland
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venezuela – last 3
WLW
10 Jun
@ Iraq
2–0
W
6 Jun
vs Türkiye
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Trinidad and Tobago
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Japan and Venezuela.
Our pick is Japan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Japan vs Venezuela?
On our numbers Japan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venezuela 13%.
How many goals will there be in Japan vs Venezuela?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan vs Venezuela?
Our predicted score is Japan 1–0 Venezuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Japan vs Venezuela?
Japan vs Venezuela (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 11:25 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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