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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fiorentina v Pisa: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Artemio Franchi
3–0
FT

Pisa

LWWLD
Fiorentina 67%Draw 22%Pisa 11% Expected goals 2.79 – 1.21
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultFiorentina to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Fiorentina vs Pisa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 15 September the Coppa Italia brings Fiorentina against Pisa at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Fiorentina, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Venezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Pisa, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Virtus Entella, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pisa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fiorentina.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 2.8 xG, Pisa 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 67%, draw 22%, Pisa 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fiorentina67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.50
Pisa11%fair 9.27 · @7.00
4.00Expected goals
2.79Fiorentina xG
1.21Pisa xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.8 – 1.2 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFiorentina to win ✓67%1.491.36
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✓89%1.121.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.75 ▲
Draw no betFiorentina (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapFiorentina -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreFiorentina to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultFiorentina ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina ✓48%2.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Fiorentina – last 6

WLLLWD
11 Sep@ Venezia4–2W
5 Sepvs Torino1–2L
29 Augvs Frosinone0–3L
24 Aug@ AS Roma0–4L
14 Augvs Benevento4–1W
6 Augvs Deportivo La Coruna1–1D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pisa – last 6

LWWLDW
11 Sepvs Virtus Entella1–4L
6 Sep@ Juve Stabia3–0W
30 Augvs Catanzaro2–1W
23 Augvs Padova0–1L
17 Augvs Empoli1–1D
8 Aug@ Bologna4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Fiorentina v Pisa1–0
Fiorentina vs Pisa head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Pisa?

On our numbers Fiorentina have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pisa 11%.

How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Pisa?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Fiorentina vs Pisa?

Fiorentina vs Pisa (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.