3K 20%Draw 55%Murang'a SEAL 25%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.07
80%
Betarazi pick
Murang'a SEAL or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.80 – our chance 55% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +53%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗55% · @2.80
Double chanceMurang'a SEAL or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
3K vs Murang'a SEAL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: 3K v Murang'a SEAL in the FKF Premier League. In the table, 3K are 7th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Murang'a SEAL are 8th (upper half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
3K, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bandari, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 3K 1.0 xG, Murang'a SEAL 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 3K 20%, draw 55%, Murang'a SEAL 25%.
Lower-risk option: Murang'a SEAL or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Murang'a SEAL or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: 3K 0–1 Murang'a SEAL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
3K20%fair 4.88 · @2.90
Draw55%fair 1.83 · @2.80
Murang'a SEAL25%fair 4.00 · @2.40
2.05Expected goals
0.983K xG
1.07Murang'a SEAL xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: 3K 1.0 – 1.1 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
55%
1.83
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Murang'a SEAL or draw✗
80%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
3K +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Murang'a SEAL to score first
45%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Recent results
3K – last 6
DDWDWD
19 Oct
@ Bandari
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Migori Youth
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Talanta
3–2
W
27 May
@ Mombasa Elite
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Murang'a SEAL – last 6
WLDWWW
18 Oct
vs Posta Rangers FC
5–1
W
13 Oct
@ GOR Mahia
2–4
L
2 Oct
@ APS Bomet
0–0
D
31 May
vs Mara Sugar
2–1
W
24 May
@ Bidco United
2–0
W
10 May
vs Homeboyz
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 3K and Murang'a SEAL.
Our pick is Murang'a SEAL or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win 3K vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers 3K have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Murang'a SEAL 25%.
How many goals will there be in 3K vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 3K vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our predicted score is 3K 0–1 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is 3K vs Murang'a SEAL?
3K vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
