Nairobi United 61%Draw 24%APS Bomet 16%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.63
61%
Betarazi pick
Nairobi United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultNairobi United to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceNairobi United or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.73
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
APS Bomet travel to face Nairobi United on Sunday 25 October in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Nairobi United are 15th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; APS Bomet are 13th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nairobi United, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shabana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
APS Bomet, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mathare United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended APS Bomet 0–0 Nairobi United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi United 1.6 xG, APS Bomet 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi United 61%, draw 24%, APS Bomet 16%.
Lower-risk option: Nairobi United or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nairobi United to win (61%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi United 1–0 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi United61%fair 1.65 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
APS Bomet16%fair 6.43 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.56Nairobi United xG
0.63APS Bomet xG
42%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.6 – 0.6 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Our pick is Nairobi United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and APS Bomet 16%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 1–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs APS Bomet?
Nairobi United vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
