Migori Youth 30%Draw 25%Mathare United 45%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.17
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Mathare United to win @ 2.80 – our chance 45% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMathare United to win ✗45% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Migori Youth vs Mathare United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mathare United travel to face Migori Youth on Friday 11 September in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Migori Youth are 12th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Mathare United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Migori Youth, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 3K, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Mathare United, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bandari, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Migori Youth, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Mathare United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Migori Youth 0.9 xG, Mathare United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Migori Youth 30%, draw 25%, Mathare United 45%.
Price worth noting: Mathare United to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Migori Youth 0–1 Mathare United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Migori Youth30%fair 3.34 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Mathare United45%fair 2.21 · @2.80
2.05Expected goals
0.88Migori Youth xG
1.17Mathare United xG
42%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Migori Youth 0.9 – 1.2 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mathare United to win✗
45%
2.21
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Draw no bet
Mathare United (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Migori Youth +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mathare United to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mathare United / FT Mathare United✗
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.63
–
Recent results
Migori Youth – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Equity Bank
2–1
W
1 Jun
@ Kisumu All Stars
1–0
W
27 May
vs MCF
2–1
W
23 May
vs Kibera Black Stars
1–0
W
17 May
@ Fortune Sacco
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mathare United – last 6
WLLDDL
31 May
vs Bandari
1–0
W
23 May
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–2
L
10 May
vs APS Bomet
0–2
L
2 May
@ Sofapaka
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Police
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Homeboyz
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Migori Youth and Mathare United.
What is the prediction for Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
On our numbers Migori Youth have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mathare United 45%.
How many goals will there be in Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
Our predicted score is Migori Youth 0–1 Mathare United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Migori Youth vs Mathare United?
Migori Youth vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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