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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bandari v Tusker: numbers & prediction

Bandari

DDDDL
1–0
FT

Tusker

LDLWW
Bandari 33%Draw 26%Tusker 42% Expected goals 0.84 – 1.00
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultTusker to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.27

Bandari vs Tusker: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tusker travel to face Bandari on Sunday 8 November in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Bandari are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Tusker are 11th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bandari, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Posta Rangers FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tusker, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mathare United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tusker, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bandari.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Bandari 1–0 Tusker.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bandari 0.8 xG, Tusker 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bandari 33%, draw 26%, Tusker 42%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.49.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandari 0–1 Tusker. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bandari33%fair 3.07 · @2.89
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.72
Tusker42%fair 2.40 · @2.45
1.84Expected goals
0.84Bandari xG
1.00Tusker xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%

From our goals model: Bandari 0.8 – 1.0 Tusker expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTusker to win ✗42%2.402.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.871.49
Draw no betTusker (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapBandari +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.801.64
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.151.05
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreTusker to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.27–

Recent results

Bandari – last 6

DDDDLW
28 Octvs Posta Rangers FC0–0D
19 Octvs 3K1–1D
14 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–0D
2 Oct@ Nairobi United1–1D
11 Sep@ GOR Mahia0–1L
14 Jun@ KCB2–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Tusker – last 6

LDLWWW
29 Oct@ Mathare United1–2L
25 Oct@ Singida Black Stars1–1D
18 Octvs Singida Black Stars0–1L
11 Oct@ Ulinzi Stars2–0W
2 Octvs Mara Sugar3–1W
12 Sepvs Al Ahli Wad Medani1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Bandari v Tusker1–0
Bandari vs Tusker head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandari vs Tusker?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Bandari vs Tusker?

On our numbers Bandari have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tusker 42%.

How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Tusker?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandari vs Tusker?

Our predicted score is Bandari 0–1 Tusker, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Bandari vs Tusker?

Bandari vs Tusker (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.