GOR Mahia 57%Draw 22%Nairobi United 21%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.83
68%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✗57% · @1.79
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓79% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
GOR Mahia welcome Nairobi United for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:15 WAT). In the table, GOR Mahia are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 6 matches; Nairobi United are 15th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
GOR Mahia, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Homeboyz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nairobi United, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Murang'a SEAL, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended GOR Mahia 0–1 Nairobi United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.6 xG, Nairobi United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 57%, draw 22%, Nairobi United 21%.
Lower-risk option: GOR Mahia or draw (79%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia57%fair 1.75 · @1.79
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.05
Nairobi United21%fair 4.76 · @4.25
2.42Expected goals
1.59GOR Mahia xG
0.83Nairobi United xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.6 – 0.8 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nairobi United 21%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United?
GOR Mahia vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
