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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Homeboyz v KCB: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026

KCB

WWLWD
Homeboyz 36%Draw 24%KCB 40% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.18
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultKCB to win40% · fair 2.49
Double chanceEither team to win76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.50

Homeboyz vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 15 November the FKF Premier League brings Homeboyz against KCB. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Homeboyz are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 5 matches; KCB are 2nd (among the top four) with 13.

Current form

Homeboyz, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kenya Police, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

KCB, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over APS Bomet, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours KCB, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Homeboyz.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended KCB 1–1 Homeboyz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Homeboyz 1.1 xG, KCB 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Homeboyz 36%, draw 24%, KCB 40%.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Homeboyz 1–1 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Homeboyz36%fair 2.80
Draw24%fair 4.15
KCB40%fair 2.49
2.31Expected goals
1.13Homeboyz xG
1.18KCB xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.1 – 1.2 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HomeboyzKCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average+2%+18%
Goals conceded vs average+4%-10%
Our expected goals here1.081.08

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKCB to win40%2.49–
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.32–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.88–
Draw no betKCB (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapHomeboyz +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals92%1.09–
First team to scoreKCB to score first46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT KCB / FT KCB21%4.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112%8.50–

Recent results

Homeboyz – last 6

DLDWLD
7 Novvs Kenya Police2–2D
28 Octvs GOR Mahia0–1L
18 Octvs Ulinzi Stars1–1D
14 Oct@ Mombasa Elite1–0W
2 Oct@ AFC Leopards0–2L
31 May@ Police1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

KCB – last 6

WWLWDW
6 Novvs APS Bomet1–0W
28 Octvs Mombasa Elite3–1W
23 Oct@ Posta Rangers FC0–1L
17 Octvs Mathare United1–0W
11 Oct@ Nairobi United2–2D
2 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026KCB v Homeboyz1–1
Homeboyz vs KCB head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Homeboyz vs KCB?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Homeboyz vs KCB?

On our numbers Homeboyz have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and KCB 40%.

How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs KCB?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs KCB?

Our predicted score is Homeboyz 1–1 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Homeboyz vs KCB?

Homeboyz vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.