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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Murang'a SEAL v Mathare United: numbers & prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026
Murang'a SEAL 62%Draw 18%Mathare United 19% Expected goals 2.00 – 1.01
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25

9/10Rating
–Odds

Picks by market

ResultMurang'a SEAL to win62% · fair 1.61
Double chanceEither team to win82% · fair 1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.04

Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Murang'a SEAL welcome Mathare United for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 15 November (13:00 WAT). In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Mathare United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Murang'a SEAL, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ulinzi Stars, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Mathare United, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Murang'a SEAL 1–1 Mathare United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 2.0 xG, Mathare United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 62%, draw 18%, Mathare United 19%.

Betarazi verdict

Our call: Over 1.5 goals (80%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 2–1 Mathare United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Murang'a SEAL62%fair 1.61
Draw18%fair 5.41
Mathare United19%fair 5.19
3.01Expected goals
2.00Murang'a SEAL xG
1.01Mathare United xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 2.0 – 1.0 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Murang'a SEALMathare United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average+58%-18%
Goals conceded vs average+42%+7%
Our expected goals here1.991.03

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMurang'a SEAL to win62%1.61–
Double chanceEither team to win82%1.23–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.94–
Draw no betMurang'a SEAL (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapMurang'a SEAL -0.5 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.23–
First team to scoreMurang'a SEAL to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultMurang'a SEAL ahead at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.04–

Recent results

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

DWLWLD
8 Novvs Ulinzi Stars2–2D
28 Octvs Nairobi United3–2W
25 Oct@ 3K1–2L
18 Octvs Posta Rangers FC5–1W
13 Oct@ GOR Mahia2–4L
2 Oct@ APS Bomet0–0D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Mathare United – last 6

LWLDLD
7 Novvs Posta Rangers FC1–2L
29 Octvs Tusker2–1W
17 Oct@ KCB0–1L
10 Octvs APS Bomet0–0D
2 Oct@ Ulinzi Stars1–2L
11 Sep@ Migori Youth0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Murang'a SEAL v Mathare United1–1
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance.

Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mathare United 19%.

How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 2–1 Mathare United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?

Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.