Both teams scoreNot both teams to score62% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.44
Tusker vs Shabana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the FKF Premier League brings Tusker against Shabana. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Tusker are 11th, lower half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Shabana are 5th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tusker, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bandari, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Shabana, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Mombasa Elite, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Shabana 1–0 Tusker.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tusker 1.0 xG, Shabana 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 75% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tusker 45%, draw 25%, Shabana 29%.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (91%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tusker 1–0 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tusker45%fair 2.20
Draw25%fair 3.95
Shabana29%fair 3.42
1.71Expected goals
1.02Tusker xG
0.69Shabana xG
38%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–018%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Tusker 1.0 – 0.7 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tusker
Shabana
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+9%
-14%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.14
0.73
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
On our numbers Tusker have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shabana 29%.
How many goals will there be in Tusker vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tusker vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Tusker 1–0 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Tusker vs Shabana?
Tusker vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
