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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pietà Hotspurs v Tarxien Rainbows: numbers & prediction

1–3
FT
Pietà Hotspurs 35%Draw 21%Tarxien Rainbows 44% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.98
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultTarxien Rainbows to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.09

Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Challenge League brings Pietà Hotspurs against Tarxien Rainbows. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Pietà Hotspurs are 6th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Tarxien Rainbows are 1st (leading the league) with 19.

Current form

Pietà Hotspurs, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Swieqi United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Tarxien Rainbows, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Attard, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tarxien Rainbows, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Pietà Hotspurs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pietà Hotspurs 1.7 xG, Tarxien Rainbows 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pietà Hotspurs 35%, draw 21%, Tarxien Rainbows 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pietà Hotspurs35%fair 2.88 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Tarxien Rainbows44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
3.72Expected goals
1.74Pietà Hotspurs xG
1.98Tarxien Rainbows xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Pietà Hotspurs 1.7 – 2.0 Tarxien Rainbows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTarxien Rainbows to win ✓44%2.252.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.72–
Draw no betTarxien Rainbows (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapPietà Hotspurs +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
First team to scoreTarxien Rainbows to score first ✗52%1.92–
Half-time resultTarxien Rainbows ahead at half-time ✗36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tarxien Rainbows / FT Tarxien Rainbows ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.09–

Recent results

Pietà Hotspurs – last 6

LWWWLL
18 Sep@ Swieqi United2–3L
12 Sepvs Naxxar Lions3–2W
12 Apr@ Sirens4–3W
8 Marvs Melita1–0W
25 Feb@ Birkirkara0–2L
22 Febvs Swieqi United1–3L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Tarxien Rainbows – last 6

WWDDWD
20 Sepvs Attard3–1W
13 Sep@ Mgarr United3–1W
10 May@ Zabbar St. Patrick0–0D
5 May@ Zabbar St. Patrick1–1D
30 Aprvs Sliema Wanderers2–1W
24 Aprvs Birkirkara0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pietà Hotspurs and Tarxien Rainbows.

Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows7610+919
2Swieqi United7511+516
3Naxxar Lions7511+516
4Fgura United7430+915
5Melita7412+513
6Pietà Hotspurs7403+212
7Mgarr United7313+110
8Zurrieq7313010
9Sirens7214-47
10Zebbug Rangers7214-67
11St. Andrews7214-77
12Attard7133-16
13Santa Lucía7061-26
14Vittoriosa Stars7133-36
15Victoria Hotspurs7205-36
16Gudja United7007-100

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows?

On our numbers Pietà Hotspurs have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tarxien Rainbows 44%.

How many goals will there be in Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our predicted score is Pietà Hotspurs 1–2 Tarxien Rainbows, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Pietà Hotspurs vs Tarxien Rainbows (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.