Mgarr United 19%Draw 20%Naxxar Lions 61%Expected goals 0.98 – 1.97
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓61% · @1.72
Double chanceNaxxar Lions or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Challenge League brings Mgarr United against Naxxar Lions. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Mgarr United are 7th, upper half, on 10 points after 7 matches; Naxxar Lions are 3rd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Mgarr United, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fgura United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Naxxar Lions, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gudja United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mgarr United 1.0 xG, Naxxar Lions 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mgarr United 19%, draw 20%, Naxxar Lions 61%.
Lower-risk option: Naxxar Lions or draw (81%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mgarr United 0–1 Naxxar Lions. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mgarr United19%fair 5.27 · @3.94
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.48
Naxxar Lions61%fair 1.63 · @1.72
2.95Expected goals
0.98Mgarr United xG
1.97Naxxar Lions xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–110%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mgarr United 1.0 – 2.0 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
61%
1.63
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Naxxar Lions or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Naxxar Lions -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.13
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Mgarr United – last 6
DLWWWL
1 Nov
@ Fgura United
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Zurrieq
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ St. Andrews
2–0
W
10 Oct
vs Vittoriosa Stars
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Melita
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Tarxien Rainbows
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
WDWWWL
1 Nov
vs Gudja United
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Santa Lucía
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Victoria Hotspurs
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Sirens
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Zebbug Rangers
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Pietà Hotspurs
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mgarr United and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Mgarr United have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Naxxar Lions 61%.
How many goals will there be in Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Mgarr United 0–1 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions?
Mgarr United vs Naxxar Lions (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
