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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Lucía v Tarxien Rainbows: numbers & prediction

3–3
FT
Santa Lucía 20%Draw 20%Tarxien Rainbows 59% Expected goals 0.88 – 1.74
70%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultTarxien Rainbows to win ✗59% · @1.71
Double chanceTarxien Rainbows or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31

Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Santa Lucía v Tarxien Rainbows in the Challenge League. In the table, Santa Lucía are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Tarxien Rainbows are 1st (leading the league) with 19. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Santa Lucía, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Swieqi United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Tarxien Rainbows, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Victoria Hotspurs, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Tarxien Rainbows, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Santa Lucía.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Lucía 0.9 xG, Tarxien Rainbows 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Lucía 20%, draw 20%, Tarxien Rainbows 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Tarxien Rainbows or draw (80%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Lucía 0–1 Tarxien Rainbows. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Lucía20%fair 4.91 · @4.05
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.44
Tarxien Rainbows59%fair 1.69 · @1.71
2.62Expected goals
0.88Santa Lucía xG
1.74Tarxien Rainbows xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Santa Lucía 0.9 – 1.7 Tarxien Rainbows expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTarxien Rainbows to win ✗59%1.691.71
Double chanceTarxien Rainbows or draw ✓80%1.261.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.821.65
Draw no betTarxien Rainbows (draw no bet)74%1.34–
Asian handicapSanta Lucía +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.71
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.10
First team to scoreTarxien Rainbows to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tarxien Rainbows / FT Tarxien Rainbows ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.31–

Recent results

Santa Lucía – last 6

LDDDDD
1 Nov@ Swieqi United0–2L
24 Octvs Naxxar Lions1–1D
17 Oct@ Fgura United0–0D
11 Octvs Zurrieq1–1D
18 Sep@ St. Andrews1–1D
12 Sepvs Vittoriosa Stars0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Tarxien Rainbows – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Octvs Victoria Hotspurs2–1W
24 Oct@ Sirens2–1W
18 Octvs Zebbug Rangers2–1W
11 Oct@ Pietà Hotspurs3–1W
20 Sepvs Attard3–1W
13 Sep@ Mgarr United3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Santa Lucía and Tarxien Rainbows.

Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tarxien Rainbows7610+919
2Swieqi United7511+516
3Naxxar Lions7511+516
4Fgura United7430+915
5Melita7412+513
6Pietà Hotspurs7403+212
7Mgarr United7313+110
8Zurrieq7313010
9Sirens7214-47
10Zebbug Rangers7214-67
11St. Andrews7214-77
12Attard7133-16
13Santa Lucía7061-26
14Vittoriosa Stars7133-36
15Victoria Hotspurs7205-36
16Gudja United7007-100

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

On our numbers Santa Lucía have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tarxien Rainbows 59%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Our predicted score is Santa Lucía 0–1 Tarxien Rainbows, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows?

Santa Lucía vs Tarxien Rainbows (Challenge League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.