Value bet: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC welcome Puerto Cabello for a Primera División fixture on Saturday 22 August (21:00 WAT). In the table, Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 13 matches; Puerto Cabello are 3rd (among the top four) with 6.
Current form
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Anzoátegui FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Puerto Cabello, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Rayo Zuliano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Puerto Cabello, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Puerto Cabello 1–2 Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.1 xG, Puerto Cabello 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes de Merida FC 32%, draw 24%, Puerto Cabello 44%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes de Merida FC to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Puerto Cabello. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes de Merida FC32%fair 3.15 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Puerto Cabello44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
2.47Expected goals
1.10Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
1.37Puerto Cabello xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.1 – 1.4 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
On our numbers Estudiantes de Merida FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Puerto Cabello 44%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello?
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Puerto Cabello (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
