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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monagas SC v Portuguesa FC: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela
Sat 22 Aug 2026
Monagas SC 41%Draw 23%Portuguesa FC 36% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.24
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Portuguesa FC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMonagas SC to win41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.85

Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the Primera División brings Monagas SC against Portuguesa FC. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Monagas SC are 4th, among the top four, on 3 points after 5 matches; Portuguesa FC are 4th (among the top four) with 3. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Monagas SC, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mineros de Guyana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Portuguesa FC, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Trujillanos FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portuguesa FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Monagas SC.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Portuguesa FC 4–0 Monagas SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monagas SC 1.3 xG, Portuguesa FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monagas SC 41%, draw 23%, Portuguesa FC 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Portuguesa FC to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monagas SC 1–1 Portuguesa FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monagas SC41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.20
Portuguesa FC36%fair 2.76 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.34Monagas SC xG
1.24Portuguesa FC xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Monagas SC 1.3 – 1.2 Portuguesa FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonagas SC to win41%2.442.15
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.711.77
Draw no betMonagas SC (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapPortuguesa FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.891.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.14–
First team to scoreMonagas SC to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monagas SC / FT Monagas SC23%4.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%11.85–

Recent results

Monagas SC – last 6

WLLWDL
19 Augvs Mineros de Guyana1–0W
16 Aug@ Deportivo Tachira FC2–3L
4 Aug@ UCV1–2L
24 Jun@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz4–0W
23 Marvs Caracas FC1–1D
19 Mar@ Metropolitanos FC0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portuguesa FC – last 6

WWLWWL
16 Augvs Trujillanos FC1–0W
9 Aug@ Anzoátegui FC4–3W
4 Aug@ Deportivo Tachira FC0–1L
31 Julvs Carabobo FC1–0W
30 May@ UCV3–2W
23 Mayvs Deportivo La Guaira0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Feb 2026Portuguesa FC v Monagas SC4–0
Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?

On our numbers Monagas SC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portuguesa FC 36%.

How many goals will there be in Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?

Our predicted score is Monagas SC 1–1 Portuguesa FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC?

Monagas SC vs Portuguesa FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.