Pakhtakor 14%Draw 20%Al-Qadisiyah FC 66%Expected goals 0.73 – 1.94
66%
Betarazi pick
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Qadisiyah FC to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceAl-Qadisiyah FC or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Qadisiyah FC travel to face Pakhtakor on Monday 12 October in the AFC Champions League, with Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Al-Qadisiyah FC are 5th (upper half) with 8.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bunyodkor, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Al-Qadisiyah FC, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Al Kholood, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Qadisiyah FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Pakhtakor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 0.7 xG, Al-Qadisiyah FC 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 14%, draw 20%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 66%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Qadisiyah FC to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor14%fair 7.29 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.00
Al-Qadisiyah FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
2.67Expected goals
0.73Pakhtakor xG
1.94Al-Qadisiyah FC xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 0.7 – 1.9 Al-Qadisiyah FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win✗
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Draw no bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Al-Qadisiyah FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Al-Qadisiyah FC to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Al-Qadisiyah FC ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Qadisiyah FC / FT Al-Qadisiyah FC✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWDWWL
9 Oct
vs Bunyodkor
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Mash'al
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Olmaliq
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs Andijan
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 6
WWDWWW
9 Oct
@ Al Kholood
5–0
W
14 Sep
vs Al-Wasl FC
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Al-Ettifaq
3–3
D
8 Sep
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
3–2
W
3 Sep
@ Al Diriyah
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Al-Qadisiyah FC.
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Qadisiyah FC 66%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
