Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gamba Osaka travel to face Newcastle Jets on Tuesday 13 October in the AFC Champions League, with McDonald Jones Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:45 WAT. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 16th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 4 matches; Gamba Osaka are 3rd (among the top four) with 8.
Current form
Newcastle Jets, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–7 defeat to Kashima, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Gamba Osaka, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kashima, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.8 xG, Gamba Osaka 2.9 xG – a total near 4.7. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 22%, draw 18%, Gamba Osaka 59%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–2 Gamba Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets22%fair 4.50 · @3.60
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Gamba Osaka59%fair 1.68 · @1.70
4.67Expected goals
1.80Newcastle Jets xG
2.87Gamba Osaka xG
69%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–15%
1–45%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 2.9 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Gamba Osaka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Gamba Osaka ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.39
–
Recent results
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LLDWDD
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
21 Jul
@ Preston Lions
2–3
L
9 May
@ Sydney
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Melbourne Victory
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LDWLWL
9 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
5–0
W
20 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Công An Nhân Dân
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gamba Osaka 59%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–2 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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