Buriram United 39%Draw 22%Beijing Guoan 39%Expected goals 1.50 – 1.50
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 13 October the AFC Champions League brings Buriram United against Beijing Guoan at Chang Arena. Kick-off: 13:15 WAT. In the table, Buriram United are 12th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Beijing Guoan are 9th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Buriram United, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rayong FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Beijing Guoan, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Qingdao Jonoon, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buriram United 1.5 xG, Beijing Guoan 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buriram United 39%, draw 22%, Beijing Guoan 39%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Beijing Guoan to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buriram United 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buriram United39%fair 2.58 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Beijing Guoan39%fair 2.57 · @3.30
3.00Expected goals
1.50Buriram United xG
1.50Beijing Guoan xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.5 – 1.5 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
39%
2.57
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.60
Draw no bet
Beijing Guoan (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Buriram United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Beijing Guoan to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Buriram United – last 6
WDWDDW
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
7 Oct
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Chonburi FC
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Sukhothai FC
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WWDWDD
9 Oct
@ Qingdao Jonoon
3–0
W
15 Sep
vs Pohang Steelers
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Rizhao Yuqi
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Beijing Guoan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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