Gamba Osaka 63%Draw 20%Buriram United 17%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.79
83%
Betarazi pick
Gamba Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 1.70 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Gamba Osaka v Buriram United in the AFC Champions League, played at Panasonic Stadium Suita. In the table, Gamba Osaka are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 4 matches; Buriram United are 12th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Gamba Osaka, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kyoto Sanga, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Buriram United, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sisaket United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gamba Osaka 1.8 xG, Buriram United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gamba Osaka 63%, draw 20%, Buriram United 17%.
Lower-risk option: Gamba Osaka or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Gamba Osaka to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gamba Osaka or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Buriram United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gamba Osaka63%fair 1.59 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
Buriram United17%fair 5.86 · @4.40
2.60Expected goals
1.81Gamba Osaka xG
0.79Buriram United xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.8 – 0.8 Buriram United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Gamba Osaka -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Gamba Osaka to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Gamba Osaka ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Gamba Osaka – last 6
DWDWLD
24 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Newcastle Jets
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Buriram United – last 6
LWWLWD
24 Oct
vs Sisaket United
2–3
L
21 Oct
vs DPU Thayang FC
8–0
W
18 Oct
@ Pattani
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
7 Oct
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Buriram United.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Buriram United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Buriram United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
