Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKashima to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Kashima vs Pohang Steelers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kashima welcome Pohang Steelers to Mercari Stadium for a AFC Champions League fixture on Wednesday 28 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Kashima are 2nd, among the top four, on 10 points after 4 matches; Pohang Steelers are 15th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Kashima, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Kashiwa Reysol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pohang Steelers, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ulsan Hyundai FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Kashima, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Pohang Steelers.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kashima 2.6 xG, Pohang Steelers 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kashima 68%, draw 20%, Pohang Steelers 13%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kashima to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kashima 2–1 Pohang Steelers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kashima68%fair 1.48 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.50
Pohang Steelers13%fair 7.93 · @9.50
3.75Expected goals
2.62Kashima xG
1.13Pohang Steelers xG
62%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.6 – 1.1 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
68%
1.48
1.25
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Kashima (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Kashima -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
First team to score
Kashima to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Kashima – last 6
LDWWWW
24 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pohang Steelers – last 6
DDLLWL
24 Oct
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs FC Anyang
0–0
D
13 Oct
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
0–2
L
9 Oct
@ Incheon United
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs FC Seoul
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Pohang Steelers.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Kashima to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Kashima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pohang Steelers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Kashima vs Pohang Steelers (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
