Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.66 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.66Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓71% · @1.17
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Nassr travel to face Pakhtakor on Monday 2 November in the AFC Champions League, with Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:45 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 4 matches; Al-Nassr are 7th (upper half) with 6.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Xorazm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Al Kholood, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Pakhtakor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 0.8 xG, Al-Nassr 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 13%, draw 16%, Al-Nassr 71%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.79.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.66). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 0–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor13%fair 7.63 · @10.80
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @6.13
Al-Nassr71%fair 1.41 · @1.17
3.05Expected goals
0.81Pakhtakor xG
2.24Al-Nassr xG
55%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 0.8 – 2.2 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
71%
1.41
1.17
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.79
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.37
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.66
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.24
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
WLLDDW
30 Oct
@ Xorazm
1–0
W
26 Oct
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
23 Oct
vs Neftchi
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
12 Oct
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Bunyodkor
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWWWWL
29 Oct
vs Al Kholood
5–3
W
23 Oct
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs NEOM
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Neftchi
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al Diriyah
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Al Ain
0–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Al-Nassr.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.66.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Al-Nassr 71%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 0–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr?
Pakhtakor vs Al-Nassr (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
