Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 2 November the AFC Champions League brings Al-Gharafa against Al-Qadisiyah FC at Thani bin Jassim Stadium. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Al-Gharafa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 4 matches; Al-Qadisiyah FC are 5th (upper half) with 8.
Current form
Al-Gharafa, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Qatar SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Al-Qadisiyah FC, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Al Riyadh, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Al-Qadisiyah FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Al-Gharafa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Gharafa 0.8 xG, Al-Qadisiyah FC 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Gharafa 10%, draw 20%, Al-Qadisiyah FC 70%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Qadisiyah FC to win (70%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Gharafa 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Gharafa10%fair 9.63 · @6.76
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.99
Al-Qadisiyah FC70%fair 1.43 · @1.31
3.02Expected goals
0.77Al-Gharafa xG
2.25Al-Qadisiyah FC xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Al-Gharafa 0.8 – 2.2 Al-Qadisiyah FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win✓
70%
1.43
1.31
Double chance
Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.60
Draw no bet
Al-Qadisiyah FC (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Al-Qadisiyah FC -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Al-Qadisiyah FC to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Al-Qadisiyah FC ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Qadisiyah FC / FT Al-Qadisiyah FC✓
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Al-Gharafa – last 6
WLDDLL
30 Oct
vs Qatar SC
2–0
W
26 Oct
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
22 Oct
vs Al Ahli Doha
2–2
D
16 Oct
@ Al-Rayyan SC
0–0
D
12 Oct
vs Esteghlal FC
1–2
L
8 Oct
@ Al Wakrah
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 6
WDLWWD
29 Oct
@ Al Riyadh
6–0
W
26 Oct
vs Al Sadd
1–1
D
23 Oct
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–3
L
20 Oct
@ Al Taawon
1–0
W
16 Oct
vs Abha
2–1
W
12 Oct
@ Pakhtakor
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Gharafa and Al-Qadisiyah FC.
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
On our numbers Al-Gharafa have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Qadisiyah FC 70%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our predicted score is Al-Gharafa 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
