Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.58
Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SHANGHAI SIPG travel to face Newcastle Jets on Tuesday 3 November in the AFC Champions League, with McDonald Jones Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:45 WAT. In the table, Newcastle Jets are 16th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 4 matches; SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Newcastle Jets, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Wellington Phoenix, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
SHANGHAI SIPG, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Công An Nhân Dân, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours SHANGHAI SIPG, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Newcastle Jets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets 1.8 xG, SHANGHAI SIPG 2.9 xG – a total near 4.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets 21%, draw 20%, SHANGHAI SIPG 59%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle Jets21%fair 4.72 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.00
SHANGHAI SIPG59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
4.71Expected goals
1.81Newcastle Jets xG
2.89SHANGHAI SIPG xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 2.9 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.44
Draw no bet
SHANGHAI SIPG (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
SHANGHAI SIPG -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.33
First team to score
SHANGHAI SIPG to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.58
–
Recent results
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LLDDLL
31 Oct
vs Wellington Phoenix
0–3
L
27 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–5
L
24 Oct
vs Macarthur
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
1.2Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
LWWDWW
27 Oct
vs Công An Nhân Dân
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Tianjin Teda
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Chengdu Better City
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Hangzhou Greentown
4–2
W
15 Sep
@ Ratchaburi
6–4
W
3.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SHANGHAI SIPG 59%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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