Value bet: Al Shamal to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Shamal travel to face Esteghlal FC on Tuesday 3 November in the AFC Champions League, with Basra Sports City the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Esteghlal FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 9 points after 4 matches; Al Shamal are 8th (upper half) with 5.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Al Shamal, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Al Sadd, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Esteghlal FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Al Shamal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 1.3 xG, Al Shamal 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 44%, draw 22%, Al Shamal 34%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Al Shamal to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Al Shamal34%fair 2.96 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.32Esteghlal FC xG
1.11Al Shamal xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.3 – 1.1 Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Esteghlal FC (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Al Shamal +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Esteghlal FC to score first✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 6
LDDWDW
27 Oct
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Gol Gohar
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al Sadd
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Shamal – last 6
LWLDDL
30 Oct
@ Al Sadd
1–4
L
27 Oct
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–1
W
23 Oct
vs Qatar SC
2–3
L
16 Oct
@ Lusail City
0–0
D
12 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Shamal 34%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Basra Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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