Adelaide United 59%Draw 25%Home United 16%Expected goals 1.58 – 0.67
59%
Betarazi pick
Adelaide United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAdelaide United to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceAdelaide United or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Adelaide United vs Home United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Home United travel to face Adelaide United on Thursday 29 October in the AFC Cup, with Coopers Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:45 WAT. In the table, Adelaide United are 3rd on 6 points after 4 matches; Home United are 1st with 10.
Current form
Adelaide United, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sydney, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Home United, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Tanjong Pagar, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Home United, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Adelaide United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Adelaide United 1.6 xG, Home United 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Adelaide United 59%, draw 25%, Home United 16%.
Lower-risk option: Adelaide United or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Adelaide United to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adelaide United 1–0 Home United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Adelaide United59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.50
Home United16%fair 6.35 · @3.70
2.25Expected goals
1.58Adelaide United xG
0.67Home United xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Adelaide United 1.6 – 0.7 Home United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Adelaide United to win✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Adelaide United or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.60
Draw no bet
Adelaide United (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Home United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Adelaide United to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Adelaide United / FT Adelaide United✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Adelaide United – last 6
LWWLWL
25 Oct
@ Sydney
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ BG Pathum United
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Perth Glory
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Perth Glory
0–2
L
17 Sep
vs Wofoo Tai Po
3–0
W
11 Aug
vs Công An Nhân Dân
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Home United – last 6
WWWWLD
25 Oct
vs Tanjong Pagar
6–0
W
18 Oct
@ Albirex Niigata S
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ Wofoo Tai Po
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Young Lions
6–1
W
8 Oct
vs Công An Nhân Dân
0–1
L
17 Sep
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Adelaide United and Home United.
What is the prediction for Adelaide United vs Home United?
Our pick is Adelaide United to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Adelaide United vs Home United?
On our numbers Adelaide United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Home United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Adelaide United vs Home United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Adelaide United vs Home United?
Our predicted score is Adelaide United 1–0 Home United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Adelaide United vs Home United?
Adelaide United vs Home United (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at Coopers Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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