Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 18.06
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:15 WAT, Thursday 29 October: Shanghai Shenhua v Machida Zelvia in the AFC Cup, played at Shanghai Stadium. In the table, Shanghai Shenhua are 3rd on 4 points after 4 matches; Machida Zelvia are 1st with 12.
Current form
Shanghai Shenhua, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sichuan Jiuniu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Machida Zelvia, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Vissel Kobe, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Machida Zelvia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Shanghai Shenhua.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shanghai Shenhua 0.5 xG, Machida Zelvia 1.0 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shanghai Shenhua 21%, draw 24%, Machida Zelvia 55%.
Lower-risk option: Machida Zelvia or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Machida Zelvia or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shanghai Shenhua21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
1.50Expected goals
0.45Shanghai Shenhua xG
1.05Machida Zelvia xG
51%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–123%
0–022%
0–212%
1–111%
1–010%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shanghai Shenhua 0.5 – 1.0 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.73
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Shanghai Shenhua +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Machida Zelvia to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
18.06
–
Recent results
Shanghai Shenhua – last 6
LWDWDW
24 Oct
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Wuhan Three Towns
3–1
W
15 Oct
@ Svay Rieng
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Yunnan Yukun
7–1
W
27 Sep
vs Zenit
0–0
D
17 Sep
vs Tampines Rovers
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
DWWWWD
24 Oct
@ Vissel Kobe
0–0
D
21 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shanghai Shenhua and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Machida Zelvia or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Shanghai Shenhua have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machida Zelvia 55%.
How many goals will there be in Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia?
Shanghai Shenhua vs Machida Zelvia (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Shanghai Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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