Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.94
Səbail vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mingəçevir travel to face Səbail on Thursday 10 September in the Birinci Dasta, with ASCO Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Səbail are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 7 matches; Mingəçevir are 9th (in the drop zone) with 4.
Current form
Səbail, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Xankəndi FK, away. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Mingəçevir, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zaqatala, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Mingəçevir.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Mingəçevir 4–1 Səbail. The last 2 head-to-heads: Səbail 1 win, Mingəçevir 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Səbail 1.5 xG, Mingəçevir 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Səbail 46%, draw 22%, Mingəçevir 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Səbail 2–1 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Səbail46%fair 2.17 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Mingəçevir32%fair 3.11 · @3.00
2.78Expected goals
1.55Səbail xG
1.24Mingəçevir xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Səbail 1.5 – 1.2 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Səbail have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mingəçevir 32%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Səbail 2–1 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Mingəçevir?
Səbail vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
