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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan
3–0
FT
Zaqatala 40%Draw 23%Baku Sportinq 37% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.47
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.08 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
2.08Odds

Picks by market

ResultZaqatala to win ✓40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.68

Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Thursday 10 September: Zaqatala v Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Zaqatala are 8th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.

Current form

Zaqatala, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mingəçevir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Baku Sportinq, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Karvan, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zaqatala 1.5 xG, Baku Sportinq 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zaqatala 40%, draw 23%, Baku Sportinq 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.08 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaqatala 2–1 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zaqatala40%fair 2.50 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Baku Sportinq37%fair 2.67 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.53Zaqatala xG
1.47Baku Sportinq xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Zaqatala 1.5 – 1.5 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZaqatala to win ✓40%2.502.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.85–
Draw no betZaqatala (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapBaku Sportinq +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.942.08 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreZaqatala to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zaqatala / FT Zaqatala ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.68–

Recent results

Zaqatala – last 6

DWLLLL
4 Sep@ Mingəçevir2–2D
22 Mayvs Safa Baku2–1W
6 Mayvs Səbail0–3L
29 Apr@ Mingəçevir1–7L
22 Aprvs Şahdağ0–1L
15 Apr@ MOIK1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Baku Sportinq – last 6

LDWDLD
3 Sepvs Karvan0–3L
22 May@ Şahdağ1–1D
7 May@ Cəbrayıl3–2W
30 Aprvs Difai Ağsu1–1D
23 Apr@ Şimal0–1L
16 Aprvs Safa Baku0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zaqatala and Baku Sportinq.

Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.08.

Who will win Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq?

On our numbers Zaqatala have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baku Sportinq 37%.

How many goals will there be in Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq?

Our predicted score is Zaqatala 2–1 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq?

Zaqatala vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.