Baku Sportinq 17%Draw 22%Səbail 61%Expected goals 0.88 – 1.87
61%
Betarazi pick
Səbail to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultSəbail to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Baku Sportinq vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Səbail travel to face Baku Sportinq on Thursday 17 September in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Baku Sportinq are 10th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 7 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Zaqatala, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Səbail, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mingəçevir, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Səbail, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Baku Sportinq.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. The last 2 head-to-heads: Baku Sportinq 0 wins, Səbail 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 0.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baku Sportinq 0.9 xG, Səbail 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baku Sportinq 17%, draw 22%, Səbail 61%.
Lower-risk option: Səbail or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Səbail to win (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baku Sportinq 0–1 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baku Sportinq17%fair 5.75 · @4.40
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.30
Səbail61%fair 1.65 · @1.70
2.75Expected goals
0.88Baku Sportinq xG
1.87Səbail xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.9 – 1.9 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Səbail 61%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Baku Sportinq vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
