Şimal 14%Draw 21%Şahdağ 65%Expected goals 0.49 – 1.51
65%
Betarazi pick
Şahdağ to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultŞahdağ to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chanceŞahdağ or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.90
Şimal vs Şahdağ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 17 September the Birinci Dasta brings Şimal against Şahdağ. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Şahdağ are 2nd (among the top four) with 15.
Current form
Şimal, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MOIK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Şahdağ, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Karvan, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Şahdağ, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Şimal.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Şahdağ 1–0 Şimal. The last 2 head-to-heads: Şimal 0 wins, Şahdağ 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 0.5 xG, Şahdağ 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 14%, draw 21%, Şahdağ 65%.
Lower-risk option: Şahdağ or draw (86%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şahdağ to win (65%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 0–1 Şahdağ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal14%fair 6.96 · @4.80
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Şahdağ65%fair 1.54 · @1.60
2.00Expected goals
0.49Şimal xG
1.51Şahdağ xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–215%
0–014%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%
From our goals model: Şimal 0.5 – 1.5 Şahdağ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Şahdağ to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Şimal vs Şahdağ?
On our numbers Şimal have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Şahdağ 65%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Şahdağ?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Our predicted score is Şimal 0–1 Şahdağ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Şahdağ?
Şimal vs Şahdağ (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
