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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

MOIK v Mingəçevir: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan

MOIK

WDLWD
3–0
FT
MOIK 43%Draw 21%Mingəçevir 36% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.25
51%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.96 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

3/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultMOIK to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓3% · fair 31.39

MOIK vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Birinci Dasta brings MOIK against Mingəçevir. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, MOIK are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; Mingəçevir are 9th (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

MOIK, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Xankəndi FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Mingəçevir, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Cəbrayıl, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours MOIK, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Mingəçevir.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Feb 2026) it ended Mingəçevir 2–0 MOIK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give MOIK 1.4 xG, Mingəçevir 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – MOIK 43%, draw 21%, Mingəçevir 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: MOIK 2–1 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

MOIK43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Mingəçevir36%fair 2.75 · @2.62
2.64Expected goals
1.39MOIK xG
1.25Mingəçevir xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: MOIK 1.4 – 1.3 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMOIK to win ✓43%2.342.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.93–
Draw no betMOIK (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapMingəçevir +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreMOIK to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT MOIK / FT MOIK ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓3%31.39–

Recent results

MOIK – last 6

WDLWDL
18 Sep@ Xankəndi FK2–0W
11 Sepvs Şimal1–1D
3 Sepvs Şahdağ0–1L
21 Mayvs Difai Ağsu4–0W
6 May@ Şimal1–1D
29 Aprvs Şahdağ0–1L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mingəçevir – last 6

LLDLWL
17 Sepvs Cəbrayıl0–3L
10 Sep@ Səbail1–2L
4 Sepvs Zaqatala2–2D
28 May@ Qabala0–2L
22 Mayvs Səbail4–1W
5 May@ Şahdağ0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Feb 2026Mingəçevir v MOIK2–0
MOIK vs Mingəçevir head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for MOIK vs Mingəçevir?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win MOIK vs Mingəçevir?

On our numbers MOIK have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mingəçevir 36%.

How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Mingəçevir?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Mingəçevir?

Our predicted score is MOIK 2–1 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is MOIK vs Mingəçevir?

MOIK vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.