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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Şimal v Xankəndi FK: numbers & prediction

Birinci Dasta · Azerbaidjan

Şimal

LDLWW
1–1
FT
Şimal 34%Draw 21%Xankəndi FK 45% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.51
52%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.93 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultXankəndi FK to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4% · fair 27.94

Şimal vs Xankəndi FK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Xankəndi FK travel to face Şimal on Friday 9 October in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Xankəndi FK are 7th (lower half) with 6. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Şimal, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Şahdağ, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Xankəndi FK, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to MOIK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Şimal, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Xankəndi FK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 1.3 xG, Xankəndi FK 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 34%, draw 21%, Xankəndi FK 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 1–2 Xankəndi FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Şimal34%fair 2.97 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Xankəndi FK45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.27Şimal xG
1.51Xankəndi FK xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Şimal 1.3 – 1.5 Xankəndi FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultXankəndi FK to win ✗45%2.232.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.00–
Draw no betXankəndi FK (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapŞimal +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreXankəndi FK to score first ✗51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Xankəndi FK / FT Xankəndi FK ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗4%27.94–

Recent results

Şimal – last 6

LDLWWL
17 Sepvs Şahdağ1–4L
11 Sep@ MOIK1–1D
4 Sepvs Cəbrayıl1–2L
27 Mayvs Qaradağ Lökbatan2–1W
21 May@ Cəbrayıl3–2W
14 Mayvs Difai Ağsu0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Xankəndi FK – last 3

LLD
18 Sepvs MOIK0–2L
10 Sep@ Cəbrayıl1–2L
3 Sepvs Səbail1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Şimal and Xankəndi FK.

Şimal vs Xankəndi FK head-to-head page →

Birinci Dasta table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cəbrayıl7511+1316
2Şahdağ6501+1215
3MOIK7421+814
4Karvan7412+613
5Səbail7331+312
6Şimal7223-18
7Xankəndi FK7133-36
8Zaqatala7124-155
9Mingəçevir6114-94
10Baku Sportinq7016-141

More Birinci Dasta predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

On our numbers Şimal have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Xankəndi FK 45%.

How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Our predicted score is Şimal 1–2 Xankəndi FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Şimal vs Xankəndi FK?

Şimal vs Xankəndi FK (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.