Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.93
Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mingəçevir travel to face Xankəndi FK on Wednesday 21 October in the Birinci Dasta – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Xankəndi FK are 7th, lower half, on 6 points after 7 matches; Mingəçevir are 9th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Xankəndi FK, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Şahdağ, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mingəçevir, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Şimal, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Xankəndi FK, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Mingəçevir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xankəndi FK 2.2 xG, Mingəçevir 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 46% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xankəndi FK 73%, draw 16%, Mingəçevir 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xankəndi FK 3–0 Mingəçevir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xankəndi FK73%fair 1.36 · @1.14
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @7.00
Mingəçevir10%fair 9.70 · @13.00
2.93Expected goals
2.24Xankəndi FK xG
0.68Mingəçevir xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 2.2 – 0.7 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xankəndi FK to win✗
73%
1.36
1.14
Double chance
Xankəndi FK or draw✗
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Xankəndi FK (draw no bet)✗
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Xankəndi FK -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Xankəndi FK to score first✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Xankəndi FK ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xankəndi FK / FT Xankəndi FK✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.93
–
Recent results
Xankəndi FK – last 5
WDLLD
15 Oct
vs Şahdağ
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Şimal
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs MOIK
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Səbail
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mingəçevir – last 6
LLLLDL
15 Oct
vs Şimal
1–4
L
9 Oct
@ MOIK
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Cəbrayıl
0–3
L
10 Sep
@ Səbail
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Zaqatala
2–2
D
28 May
@ Qabala
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Mingəçevir.
What is the prediction for Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Mingəçevir 10%.
How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 3–0 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
