Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.86
Şahdağ vs Səbail: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Şahdağ v Səbail in the Birinci Dasta. In the table, Şahdağ are 2nd, among the top four, on 15 points after 6 matches; Səbail are 5th (upper half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Şahdağ, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Xankəndi FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Səbail, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zaqatala, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şahdağ 1.2 xG, Səbail 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şahdağ 36%, draw 23%, Səbail 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şahdağ 1–1 Səbail. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şahdağ36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Səbail42%fair 2.40 · @2.40
2.60Expected goals
1.24Şahdağ xG
1.36Səbail xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Şahdağ 1.2 – 1.4 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
42%
2.40
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Səbail (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Şahdağ +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Səbail to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.86
–
Recent results
Şahdağ – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Oct
@ Xankəndi FK
0–1
L
7 Oct
vs Zaqatala
6–0
W
17 Sep
@ Şimal
4–1
W
9 Sep
vs Karvan
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ MOIK
1–0
W
22 May
vs Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WDWWDL
15 Oct
@ Zaqatala
3–1
W
8 Oct
vs Karvan
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
10 Sep
vs Mingəçevir
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Xankəndi FK
1–1
D
22 May
@ Mingəçevir
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şahdağ and Səbail.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Səbail?
On our numbers Şahdağ have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Səbail 42%.
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Şahdağ 1–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Şahdağ vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
