Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93
MOIK vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MOIK welcome Karvan for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 22 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, MOIK are 3rd, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; Karvan are 4th (among the top four) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MOIK, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Baku Sportinq, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Karvan, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cəbrayıl, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MOIK 1.3 xG, Karvan 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MOIK 38%, draw 21%, Karvan 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: MOIK 1–1 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MOIK38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Karvan41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
2.61Expected goals
1.27MOIK xG
1.34Karvan xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: MOIK 1.3 – 1.3 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✗
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Karvan (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
MOIK +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Karvan to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
MOIK – last 6
WWWDLW
16 Oct
@ Baku Sportinq
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Mingəçevir
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Xankəndi FK
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Şimal
1–1
D
3 Sep
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
21 May
vs Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 6
WDWLWD
16 Oct
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Səbail
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Zaqatala
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Şahdağ
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
3–0
W
24 May
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MOIK and Karvan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win MOIK vs Karvan?
On our numbers MOIK have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Karvan 41%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is MOIK 1–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Karvan?
MOIK vs Karvan (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
