Şimal 63%Draw 23%Baku Sportinq 15%Expected goals 2.03 – 0.90
63%
Betarazi pick
Şimal to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultŞimal to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceŞimal or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 13.42
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 22 October the Birinci Dasta brings Şimal against Baku Sportinq. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Şimal are 6th, lower half, on 8 points after 7 matches; Baku Sportinq are 10th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Şimal, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Mingəçevir, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Baku Sportinq, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to MOIK, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Şimal, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Baku Sportinq.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Şimal 1–0 Baku Sportinq.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şimal 2.0 xG, Baku Sportinq 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şimal 63%, draw 23%, Baku Sportinq 15%.
Lower-risk option: Şimal or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Şimal to win (63%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şimal 2–0 Baku Sportinq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şimal63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Baku Sportinq15%fair 6.76 · @3.70
2.93Expected goals
2.03Şimal xG
0.90Baku Sportinq xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Şimal 2.0 – 0.9 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Şimal to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şimal have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baku Sportinq 15%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şimal 2–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
