Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.38 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAluminium Arak to win ✗45% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aluminium Arak welcome Kheybar Khorramabad to Imam Khomeini for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Friday 28 August (16:45 WAT). In the table, Aluminium Arak are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Kheybar Khorramabad are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aluminium Arak, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shams Azar Qazvin, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kheybar Khorramabad, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paykan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aluminium Arak 1.2 xG, Kheybar Khorramabad 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminium Arak 45%, draw 25%, Kheybar Khorramabad 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminium Arak 1–0 Kheybar Khorramabad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aluminium Arak45%fair 2.21 · @2.33
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.85
Kheybar Khorramabad30%fair 3.34 · @3.20
2.17Expected goals
1.24Aluminium Arak xG
0.93Kheybar Khorramabad xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.2 – 0.9 Kheybar Khorramabad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aluminium Arak to win✗
45%
2.21
2.33 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Aluminium Arak (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Kheybar Khorramabad +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Aluminium Arak to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
Aluminium Arak – last 5
DDWDD
23 Aug
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
2–2
D
18 Aug
vs Chadormalu SC
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Paykan
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Kheybar Khorramabad – last 6
LDDLWW
24 Aug
vs Paykan
2–3
L
19 Aug
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Chadormalu SC
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Persepolis FC
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Malavan
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Kheybar Khorramabad.
What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kheybar Khorramabad 30%.
How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 Kheybar Khorramabad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Aluminium Arak vs Kheybar Khorramabad (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
