Value bet: Shams Azar Qazvin to win @ 3.70 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.94
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Nassaji Mazandaran against Shams Azar Qazvin at Vatani Stadium. Kick-off: 16:45 WAT. In the table, Nassaji Mazandaran are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Nassaji Mazandaran, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Esteghlal Khuzestan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Shams Azar Qazvin, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Aluminium Arak, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nassaji Mazandaran 1.0 xG, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nassaji Mazandaran 45%, draw 25%, Shams Azar Qazvin 30%.
Price worth noting: Shams Azar Qazvin to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (75%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nassaji Mazandaran45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.92
Shams Azar Qazvin30%fair 3.29 · @3.70
1.83Expected goals
1.05Nassaji Mazandaran xG
0.78Shams Azar Qazvin xG
38%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nassaji Mazandaran 1.0 – 0.8 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✗
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.34
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Nassaji Mazandaran (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Shams Azar Qazvin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Nassaji Mazandaran to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
DLLLWL
23 Aug
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Gol Gohar
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Fard Alborz
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Havadar
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
DDLLLD
23 Aug
vs Aluminium Arak
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Foolad FC
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Persepolis FC
0–2
L
27 Feb
vs Foolad FC
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Fajr Sepasi
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Aluminium Arak
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nassaji Mazandaran and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Nassaji Mazandaran have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shams Azar Qazvin 30%.
How many goals will there be in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Nassaji Mazandaran 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Vatani Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
