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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Acatlan v Real Apodaca: numbers & prediction

4–1
FT
Acatlan 15%Draw 17%Real Apodaca 68% Expected goals 0.98 – 2.35
68%
Betarazi pick

Real Apodaca to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Apodaca to win ✗68% · @1.28
Double chanceReal Apodaca or draw ✗85% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Acatlan vs Real Apodaca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Acatlan welcome Real Apodaca for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 12 September (02:30 WAT). In the table, Acatlan are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Real Apodaca are 9th (upper half) with 9. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Acatlan, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to La Tribu de Cd. Juarez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Real Apodaca, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético Saltillo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Acatlan 1.0 xG, Real Apodaca 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Acatlan 15%, draw 17%, Real Apodaca 68%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Apodaca to win (68%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Acatlan 0–2 Real Apodaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Acatlan15%fair 6.79 · @7.50
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
Real Apodaca68%fair 1.46 · @1.28
3.34Expected goals
0.98Acatlan xG
2.35Real Apodaca xG
50%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%

From our goals model: Acatlan 1.0 – 2.4 Real Apodaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Apodaca to win ✗68%1.461.28
Double chanceReal Apodaca or draw ✗85%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.99–
Draw no betReal Apodaca (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapReal Apodaca -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
First team to scoreReal Apodaca to score first ✗68%1.47–
Half-time resultReal Apodaca ahead at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Apodaca / FT Real Apodaca ✗45%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.33–

Recent results

Acatlan – last 4

LWLL
6 Sep@ La Tribu de Cd. Juarez0–4L
29 Augvs Guerreros3–0W
11 Aprvs Cimarrones0–4L
5 Aprvs Colima1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Real Apodaca – last 6

LDDDWD
7 Sepvs Atlético Saltillo2–3L
30 Aug@ Mineros de Fresnillo0–0D
30 Apr@ Deportiva Venados1–1D
23 Apr@ Inter Playa del Carmen0–0D
24 Mar@ Zitacuaro2–1W
22 Feb@ Lobos ULMX0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Acatlan and Real Apodaca.

Acatlan vs Real Apodaca head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago11713+2024
2Acatlan11713+523
3La Tribu de Cd. Juarez11704+1822
4Mineros de Fresnillo11632+1122
5Correcaminos UAT II11623+420
6Vaqueros Reynosa11524+118
7Guerreros10424015
8Atlético Saltillo10406-711
9Real Apodaca11317-79
10Héroes de Zaci10019-262
1Dragones de Oaxaca11722+1625
2Artesanos Metepec11731+1425
3Acambaro11713+1723
4Delfines Coatzacoalcos11533+419
5Halcones Negros11515+417
6Guerreros del Pacifico11416+117
7Calor de San Pedro11416-716
8Real Refineros11515-515
9Ciervos11209-275
10Cañoneros Marina100010-360

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Acatlan vs Real Apodaca?

Our pick is Real Apodaca to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Acatlan vs Real Apodaca?

On our numbers Acatlan have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Real Apodaca 68%.

How many goals will there be in Acatlan vs Real Apodaca?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Acatlan vs Real Apodaca?

Our predicted score is Acatlan 0–2 Real Apodaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Acatlan vs Real Apodaca?

Acatlan vs Real Apodaca (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.