Mineros de Fresnillo 34%Draw 23%FC Santiago 43%Expected goals 0.44 – 0.56
55%
Betarazi pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 2.15
4/10Rating
2.15Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Santiago to win43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–121% · fair 4.82
Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mineros de Fresnillo welcome FC Santiago for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 12 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Mineros de Fresnillo are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; FC Santiago are 1st (leading the league) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mineros de Fresnillo, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Correcaminos UAT II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
FC Santiago, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Héroes de Zaci, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours FC Santiago, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Mineros de Fresnillo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mineros de Fresnillo 0.4 xG, FC Santiago 0.6 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mineros de Fresnillo 34%, draw 23%, FC Santiago 43%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 2.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (55%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.83, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 FC Santiago. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mineros de Fresnillo34%fair 2.92 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
FC Santiago43%fair 2.33 · @2.38
1.00Expected goals
0.44Mineros de Fresnillo xG
0.56FC Santiago xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–037%
0–121%
1–016%
1–19%
0–26%
2–03%
From our goals model: Mineros de Fresnillo 0.4 – 0.6 FC Santiago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Santiago to win
43%
2.33
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Santiago (draw no bet)
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Mineros de Fresnillo +0.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
100%
1.00
–
First team to score
No goal
37%
2.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
68%
1.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
21%
4.82
–
Recent results
Mineros de Fresnillo – last 5
DDDLL
5 Sep
@ Correcaminos UAT II
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Real Apodaca
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Cimarrones
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Durango
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Los Cabos United
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Santiago – last 6
WLLWWW
5 Sep
vs Héroes de Zaci
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Vaqueros Reynosa
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Zacatepec 1948
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Ciervos
5–0
W
14 Mar
vs Calor de San Pedro
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Zap
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mineros de Fresnillo and FC Santiago.
What is the prediction for Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
On our numbers Mineros de Fresnillo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Santiago 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Our predicted score is Mineros de Fresnillo 0–0 FC Santiago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago?
Mineros de Fresnillo vs FC Santiago (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
