Ahal 15%Draw 21%Al Ansar 65%Expected goals 1.03 – 2.29
65%
Betarazi pick
Al Ansar to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ansar to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✗85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Ahal vs Al Ansar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the AFC Challenge League brings Ahal against Al Ansar at Changlimithang Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT.
Current form
Ahal, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Al Ittihad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Al Ansar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Paro, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Ansar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Ahal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ahal 1.0 xG, Al Ansar 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ahal 15%, draw 21%, Al Ansar 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Ansar to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ahal 1–2 Al Ansar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ahal15%fair 6.82 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.00
Al Ansar65%fair 1.54 · @1.50
3.32Expected goals
1.03Ahal xG
2.29Al Ansar xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ahal 1.0 – 2.3 Al Ansar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ansar to win✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Double chance
Al Ansar or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Al Ansar (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Al Ansar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Al Ansar to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Al Ansar ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ansar / FT Al Ansar✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Ahal – last 6
LDLWWL
20 Oct
@ Al Ittihad
1–5
L
17 Oct
vs Paro
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Altyn Asyr
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Aşgabat
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Nebitci
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Şagadam
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Al Ansar – last 6
WWWWWD
20 Oct
@ Paro
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Al Ittihad
2–0
W
8 Oct
vs Al Hikma
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Al Nejmeh
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Jwaaya FC
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Al Ahed
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ahal and Al Ansar.
Our pick is Al Ansar to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ahal vs Al Ansar?
On our numbers Ahal have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Ansar 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ahal vs Al Ansar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ahal vs Al Ansar?
Our predicted score is Ahal 1–2 Al Ansar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ahal vs Al Ansar?
Ahal vs Al Ansar (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.