Al Ittihad 74%Draw 15%Paro 11%Expected goals 2.36 – 0.75
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓74% · @1.14
Double chanceAl Ittihad or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Al Ittihad vs Paro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Ittihad welcome Paro to Changlimithang Stadium for a AFC Challenge League fixture on Friday 23 October (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Al Ittihad, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Ahal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Paro, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Ansar, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ittihad 2.4 xG, Paro 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 48% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ittihad 74%, draw 15%, Paro 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ittihad 3–0 Paro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ittihad74%fair 1.35 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.88 · @8.00
Paro11%fair 8.96 · @12.00
3.11Expected goals
2.36Al Ittihad xG
0.75Paro xG
48%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 2.4 – 0.8 Paro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
74%
1.35
1.14
Double chance
Al Ittihad or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Al Ittihad (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Al Ittihad -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Al Ittihad to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Al Ittihad ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ittihad / FT Al Ittihad✗
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Al Ittihad – last 6
WLWWWD
20 Oct
vs Ahal
5–1
W
17 Oct
@ Al Ansar
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Bangladesh Police
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Jaish
2–0
W
24 Jun
vs Hottin
4–0
W
19 Jun
@ Al Wahda
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paro – last 6
LDWWWW
20 Oct
vs Al Ansar
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ahal
2–2
D
8 Oct
@ Thimphu City
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Bhutan U19
6–0
W
12 Sep
@ Transport United
4–2
W
8 Sep
@ Ugyen Academy
10–0
W
4.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and Paro.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Paro?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Paro 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs Paro?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 3–0 Paro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Al Ittihad vs Paro (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ahal2
Al Ansar1
Fortis3
Regar-TadAZ1