Penarol vs Atletico Torque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Torque travel to face Penarol on Thursday 27 August in the Copa Uruguay – the ball rolls at 00:15 WAT.
Current form
Penarol, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Maldonado, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Torque, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penarol 1.6 xG, Atletico Torque 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penarol 49%, draw 22%, Atletico Torque 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penarol49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.35
Atletico Torque29%fair 3.43 · @3.25
2.67Expected goals
1.56Penarol xG
1.12Atletico Torque xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Penarol 1.6 – 1.1 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penarol to win✓
49%
2.03
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Draw no bet
Penarol (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Torque +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Penarol to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penarol / FT Penarol✗
28%
3.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Penarol – last 6
DWWWWD
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Central Espanol
2–1
W
6 Aug
vs Wanderers
5–1
W
1 Aug
vs Cerro Largo
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Boston River
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Racing Montevideo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
WWWWLW
23 Aug
vs Wanderers
5–1
W
20 Aug
vs Tigre
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Juventud
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Tigre
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Wanderers
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs Danubio
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penarol and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Penarol have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Torque 29%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Penarol vs Atletico Torque (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fenix0
Liverpool Montevideo2